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Triple Differences
A state shock biases DiD for the targeted group; subtracting other workers in the same state removes it.
Day 72: Triple Differences & Changes-in-ChangesDiD, affected group
-6.00
DiD, other workers
-3.00
DDD
-3.00
truth
-3.00
Changes in log wages (%) before and after a state mandate that raises costs of employing married women aged 20–40 (the affected group). A state-wide shock hits everyone in the treated state; a national trend hits the affected group everywhere. DiD for the affected group picks up the state shock; DDD subtracts it using other workers in the same state. Only a shock specific to the treated state and the affected group (the violation) biases DDD.